Accel's 2025 Globalscape report reveals AI shift in B2B, with Nvidia and Oracle leading market cap growth.

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Accel just released their 2025 Globalscape report with hard data on the AI shift in B2B. They analyzed 200 companies that raised $10.3B combined. Here are 10 key findings: 1️⃣ The Great Divergence Market cap changes (Oct 2024 → Oct 2025): Nvidia: +$1.6T Oracle: +$313B (+151%) ServiceNow: -$8B (-4%) Adobe: -$42B (-18%) The market is pricing in replacement risk for traditional SaaS while rewarding AI infrastructure and distribution players. 2️⃣ The Efficiency Gap Revenue per employee: • Cursor: $6.1M/FTE • Lovable: $3.4M/FTE • OpenAI: $1.5M/FTE • Salesforce: $0.54M/FTE • Atlassian: $0.46M/FTE AI-native companies operate at 6-12x better efficiency. 3️⃣ Unprecedented Velocity • Lovable: $100M ARR in 8 months • Cursor: $500M ARR in 30 months • 11ElevenLabs: $200M ARR (2x in 10 months) • Developer AI adoption: 36% (2023) → 90% (2025) 4️⃣ Gross Margins (Temporary Problem, Probably) AI apps: 7-40% gross margin vs 76% traditional SaaS But inference costs dropped 97%: • GPT-4 (Mar '23): $75/1M tokens • GPT-5 Mini (Oct '25): $2/1M tokens 5️⃣ The Growth Collapse Traditional SaaS quarterly growth: • Q2 2021: 47% • Q3 2025: 15% Growth cut by 2/3. AI-lifted companies (Oracle, Palantir) still growing. Rest stagnating. 6️⃣ Venture Funding $184B in Cloud & AI (2025E): • 60% to AI models • US models: $106B vs EU/IL: $4B • But EU/IL apps = 66% of US funding 7️⃣ The Infrastructure Build $4.1T in AI CapEx (2026-2030): • 117 GW new capacity needed • 55%+ already committed • Bottleneck: 36 GW US power shortfall 8️⃣ Agentic AI in Production • UiPath x Fiserv: 98% automation, 12K hrs saved • Decagon x Duolingo: 80% ticket deflection • Salesforce Agentforce: $440M ARR, 13K customers 9️⃣ IPO Window Reopened ... But Only Somewhat 2023: 1 IPO | 2024: 4 IPOs | 2025: 8 IPOs Multiples: 7.8x (vs 7.1x pre-COVID) But selective: need AI efficiency + profitability path. 🔟 New Unicorns Born Faster Than Ever 65% are 0-3 years old (!) • US avg: 2.4 years • EU/IL avg: 4.1 years • Time to unicorn: 18-36 months (vs 5-7 years cloud era) The Bottom Line: Window for category leadership: 18-24 months. Build AI-native, optimize revenue/employee, ship fast. Full breakdown at link in comments

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This report quietly confirms the new power law in SaaS: 🧠 AI-native companies aren’t just growing faster — they require fewer humans, less capital, and ship 10x faster. The old SaaS playbook was: “Raise → hire → scale → maybe profit in 7 years.” The new one is: “Build → ship → revenue → optionality in 18–36 months.” What everyone is missing: ⚠️ It’s not just infra (Nvidia). ⚠️ It’s not just model labs (OpenAI). The real compression happens in the partnership layer. The fastest AI companies aren’t winning because they have better models — They’re winning because they can form distribution alliances in weeks instead of years. Cursor + Replit ElevenLabs + xAI Oracle + Cohere All partnership-driven growth moments. The new metric isn’t ARR — it’s RPE + RPP (revenue per employee, revenue per partner). We’re entering a go-to-market era where: 🚀 10 employees + 100 strategic partners > 400 SDRs and a 7-year burn. Founders who don’t build their partnership engine now will not survive the 24-month window Accel just described.

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This report basically confirms what we’ve felt all year, SaaS isn’t dying, it’s just getting outpaced by companies that treat AI as the core engine, not a feature add-on. The efficiency gap confirms it. Cursor doing $6M per employee while legacy SaaS struggles to hit $500k says everything about where the next winners come from. Jason M. Lemkin

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Very interesting data across dimensions ! So far, major liftoff from AI, in non-AI companies has been Compute-adjacent - Oracle, MongoDB etc or Security/Obervability-adjacent (still Compute linked) - CrowdStrike, Datadog etc. We will see the liftoff in App due to AI in 2026.

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This report just reinforces what founders already feel: the window for category leadership is shorter, the bar for efficiency is higher. The ones who win will ship fast and operate lean.

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Wild how the whole game is shifting toward whoever ships faster and runs leaner. Feels like the old playbook is aging in real time. Jason M. Lemkin

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AI-native efficiency = running a startup on rocket fuel while everyone else is pedaling bicycles.

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Thank you for putting a spotlight on the report findings, Jason! 💡

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