The HubSpot Monopoly Problem - A Case Study in AI Bias

The HubSpot Monopoly Problem - A Case Study in AI Bias


Every startup launched after 2023 faces the same invisible enemy: pre-training bias. I ran 500+ queries across different AI models testing this theory.

HubSpot, Zoom, Slack - these brands own entire categories in AI responses. But I found exactly how 4 companies broke through their semantic monopolies...

I ran the same CRM query across ChatGPT and Claude 50 times each, both with and without web search enabled. What I discovered explains why 90% of new CRM startups are invisible to AI - and what the smart ones are doing about it.

The Experiment That Revealed Everything

Test Query: "What are the top 3 CRM solutions for small businesses?"

Results

  • Chatgpt (no search): HubSpot , Zoho, Pipedrive (you may also get Salesforce depending on your ChatGPT memory/location)
  • ChatGPT (with search): HubSpot, Zoho , Pipedrive (added citations)
  • Perplexity (no search): HubSpot, Salesforce , Pipedrive
  • Claude (no search): HubSpot, Salesforce, Pipedrive

[Screenshots mentioned at the end of the note for reference]

Article content
snapshot of brand mentions

The Discovery: Web search didn't change the core recommendations, only added validation and pricing links. HubSpot appeared in 100% of responses across both models, regardless of search capability.

Why This Happens: The Confirmation Bias Loop

Here's the actual flow I documented:

Pre-trained bias: "HubSpot is good for small business CRM"
↓
AI searches web → Finds articles mentioning HubSpot  
↓
Confirms existing bias → Outputs HubSpot again
        

The web search isn't discovering new options. It's validating what the model already "believes" from training data.

During the 2019-2023 training period, HubSpot achieved what I'm calling "semantic monopoly" i.e. deep association between "CRM" and their brand in the model's training data. Same thing happened with Zoom for "video conferencing" and Excel for "spreadsheets."

The New CRM Startup Problem

If your AI-CRM or new CRM launched after 2023, you face a brutal reality:

  1. No Training Data Presence: You didn't exist during the 2019-2023 training window
  2. Confidence Threshold: AI models are confident they can answer CRM queries without web search
  3. Validation Layer Only: When they do search, they're confirming HubSpot, not discovering you

I tested this with a couple of CRM startups founded in/after 2024. Zero appeared in standard "best CRM" queries, even when their SEO was solid.


The Google Workspace CRM Breakthrough

The Test: I asked ChatGPT specifically about "CRM for Google Workspace teams"

What Appeared:

  1. NetHunt CRM - "Built inside Gmail, marketed as Google Workspace CRM"
  2. Nimble - "Good Google Workspace integration: Gmail, Calendar, Drive"
  3. Salesmate "Tight Google integration: two-way email sync with Gmail"
  4. Nutshell - "Integrates Gmail, Google Calendar, Drive, Contacts"
  5. Zoho (continued to appear from its broader CRM presence)

The Pattern: None of these dominated the generic "best CRM" space. But when I got specific about Google Workspace integration into the prompt, they broke through HubSpot's monopoly.

Why This Worked:

  • NetHunt positioned as "built inside Gmail" (not just another CRM)
  • Each owned specific integration narratives
  • Avoided direct competition with HubSpot's broad positioning
  • Created semantic space around "Google-first workflow"

Key Insight: Semantic positioning works. These CRMs became visible by owning integration-specific queries, not fighting for generic CRM recommendations.

The Anti-Pattern Content Strategy

Here's what actually works for new CRM startups:

  • Instead of: "Why our CRM is better" Try: "When NOT to use HubSpot"
  • Instead of: "Best CRM features" Try: "Why traditional CRMs fail for [specific use case]"
  • Instead of: "CRM comparison" Try: "[Your CRM] vs HubSpot: The honest comparison"

This forces AI models to mention you when discussing alternatives or limitations of established players.

The Semantic Positioning Playbook

Don't fight semantic monopolies. Create your own semantic space:

Niche Positioning Examples:

  • "CRM for real estate agents" (not generic CRM)
  • "CRM for creative agencies" (specific industry)
  • "CRM under $50/month" (price positioning)
  • "CRM that syncs with Notion" (integration positioning)

Why This Works:

  • Lower competition in training data
  • Specific user intent matching
  • Clear differentiation from HubSpot's broad positioning

What I'm Testing Next

I'm tracking 25 new CRM startups to see which positioning strategies break through fastest. Early outcomes suggests industry-specific positioning beats feature-based positioning.

Also testing how long it takes for new content to influence AI responses. Hypothesis: 3-6-12 months for consistent mentions across X no. of queries (starting with direct brand based queries and moving to industry wide query set), 18+ months for strong long term semantic association.

The Uncomfortable Truth

If you launched your CRM in 2024, you're fighting an uphill battle against 5 years of HubSpot's training data presence.

But the opportunity is real. As user queries get more specific and conversational, there's space for specialized solutions. You just can't play the broad "best CRM" game.

The companies will need to own narrow, specific semantic spaces rather than fighting for generic category dominance.


Drop your observations below. I'm building my notes from real startup experiences.

  • Have you noticed certain brands dominating AI recommendations in your industry? What positioning strategies have you tried to break through?
  • More importantly - if you're building a new product in a crowded category, how are you thinking about semantic positioning versus traditional competitive differentiation?

Signing off


This research is part of my systematic study into LLM behavior and AI-driven discovery. All data points verified through direct testing and documented in my research repository.

Screenshots for reference:

Article content
Perplexity response
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ChatGPT response


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I fail to see the problem here Kalyani, as HubSpot is clearly the best CRM according to multiple sources* *This is a joke, as the commentor works for HubSpot, promoting HubSpot, specifically on the CRM for multiple years. I think case studies and robust knowledge base documentation are now a part of the content strategy.

This is a fascinating and timely observation. We’ve entered an era where AI visibility matters as much as SEO once did, and legacy brands already dominate the training data. It’s almost like competing in a race where others started five years earlier. The challenge for startups now is to build semantic equity, shaping how AI models “think” about their brand through consistent signals, mentions, and contextual authority. It’s not just about keywords anymore; it’s about narrative imprint. Excited to read your lab note and see how these four companies cracked the code.

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